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Mick Harper
Site Admin

In: London
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I spotted AI translating 'season ticket' as 'a rented place in the stands' in that last quote. Re the ref, there was this exchange, as reported by Al-Jazeera and the BBC (my translation):
US Immigration Officer: Sorry, sir, we're not allowing Somalis in.
Omar Artan: I know, that's why I've got a diplomatic passport.
Officer: Why's that then, sir?
Omar: I'm considered the best ref in Africa and I'm due to be in charge of a couple of World Cup matches.
Officer: Sorry, sir, no exceptions.
Omar: FIFA have made all the necessary clearances directly with your President. I really think you should check.
Officer: Well all right, but you'll have to stay in a cell while we do.
Omar: Fair enough.
Officer: Wakey, wakey, Mr Artan, we've had a word, it's no dice, we're putting you on a plane to Istanbul.
Andrew Giuliani (Head of White House Task Force on the World Cup): While I can't go into the derog [derogatory information] on that I can tell you it was the right decision by customs and border patrol and I support that decision.
The Iranian support staff got the same treatment though the players were allowed in. Come on! It could have been the other way round. There's plenty of masseuses in L.A.
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Wile E. Coyote
In: Arizona
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| Mick Harper wrote: | Let us sort out the latest tit-for-tat in the Hormuz Strait. It began with
1. The 'shooting down' of a US Apache helicopter 'patrolling' in the Strait. Iran has no business doing this. It is true the Americans ought not to have been doing anything so provocative but that is a lesser offence for which a lesser response was called for. |
According to Donald, not one but two Apache helicopters were flying side by side, patrolling the Strait, when a hostile drone got wedged between them, undaunted they kept flying on, until on trying to land, the drone started to catch fire, so the pilots deliberately ditched, only to be rescued by a sea drone.
It does make you wonder given the sucessful rescue by drone, why they were not using unmanned aerial drones to patrol the strait, err as they have been up to now.......
Clearly the pilots got incredibly unlucky with the first ever drone wedged between Apaches, but incredibly lucky with the first ever US unmanned sea rescue of ditched pilots.
Wild ! What are the chances?
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Mick Harper
Site Admin

In: London
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I just realised I completely missed this bit of careful ignoral. Normally, when something of this sort happens, we are treated to endless animations showing how 'it might have happened'. Or, by this time, how it did happen, complete with voice tapes and radar tracking shots.
But, no. All we got was 'an Apache has been downed by an Iranian drone', followed by a prompt Iranian denial (as opposed to a triumphant 'the IRGC does not comment on current military operations'). I'm having a bath later, I'll try out some scenarios.
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Wile E. Coyote
In: Arizona
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Helicoptors are relatively slow moving and fly at low altitudes, the pilots do not normally have ejection seats.
If the Commander in Chief had ordered helicoptors in, he would presumably have known they would be vulnerable to not just drones, but MANPADs, Anti Aircraft Artillery (canons) Radar guided Missiles and so on.
It would be highly likely they the US would suffer casualties, using slow moving, low altitude piloted helicoptors.
Russia has lost roughly 20-30% of its attack helicoptors in Ukraine, just because each one does not get reported, it doesnt mean that it doesnt happen, it means that news outlets prioritise reporting of jets and battleships etc....
The bigger question is are slow moving helicoptors like slow moving tanks effectively becoming obsolete (for attack rather than transport purposes) because they are so easy to target........
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Wile E. Coyote
In: Arizona
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These so called "tit for tat" exchanges appear to have now ended. Trump is claiming that there has been a breakthrough in negotiations.
Iran and Israel have stated that no negotiations have taken place with them.
Looking for a positive.... this is surely the first time that Iran and Israel have actually agreed about something.
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Wile E. Coyote
In: Arizona
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Looking for another positive ......the price of Brent has dropped on the Presidents announcement.
Wileys theory is that the markets are pricing not on the demand and reserve supplies of oil, and whether peace will come soon enough...but on whether Trump has capacity to take decisions.
They pannicked when he announced yesterday he was taking Kharg Island.
It was like
"Oh shit he has gone insane"
"No this always happens"
"But he thinks he is God"
"No, you really shouldnt panic"
"But he has ordered a Golden statue of himself and is ordering folks to pray in front of it"
"Look this has happened 37 times now he always gets better"
"I really dont think he will recover, I am really really sure, he is ordering the taking of Kharg"
......................
"Wow! I really didnt think that was going to happen"
"There you go the meds are kicking in now"
" Phew ....I really didnt think...."
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Mick Harper
Site Admin

In: London
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| Wiley wrote: | | Helicoptors are relatively slow moving and fly at low altitudes, the pilots do not normally have ejection seats. |
I understand that modern technology is such that helicopters can get down safely if the main rotor is u/s but the back one is still functioning.
| If the Commander in Chief had ordered helicoptors in, he would presumably have known they would be vulnerable to not just drones, but MANPADs, Anti Aircraft Artillery (canons) Radar guided Missiles and so on. It would be highly likely they the US would suffer casualties, using slow moving, low altitude piloted helicoptors. |
So surely he had reason to believe there would be no Iranian reaction. The operation was, after all, being conducted in Omani territorial waters and the helis were not engaging in overt hostile activities. Unless you're suggesting this was a deliberate coat-trail.
| Russia has lost roughly 20-30% of its attack helicoptors in Ukraine, just because each one does not get reported, it doesnt mean that it doesnt happen, it means that news outlets prioritise reporting of jets and battleships etc.... |
Sorry, but a heli is a heli. We're not dealing with the Battle of Britain here.
| The bigger question is are slow moving helicoptors like slow moving tanks effectively becoming obsolete (for attack rather than transport purposes) because they are so easy to target........ |
I think they largely are. Though lots of people are trying to buy (mostly unavailingly) retired US Warthogs.
| These so called "tit for tat" exchanges appear to have now ended. Trump is claiming that there has been a breakthrough in negotiations. Iran and Israel have stated that no negotiations have taken place with them. Looking for a positive.... this is surely the first time that Iran and Israel have actually agreed about something. |
Trump cried 'uncle', not for the first time. (And correctly, he is still holding the high hand.)
| Looking for another positive ......the price of Brent has dropped on the Presidents announcement. Wileys theory is that the markets are pricing not on the demand and reserve supplies of oil, and whether peace will come soon enough...but on whether Trump has capacity to take decisions. |
It's down to eighty-three dollars which is the first time it's budged from its 90-110 range established at the outset of the war. On the question of supply and demand, I would think the amount getting out of the Gulf--both American and Iranian inspired--together with increased production elsewhere (and it being summer in the northern hemisphere) means its balanced pretty much.
There's still a twenty-dollar premium over the pre-war price for, as you go on to say, the chance of Trump losing it.
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