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The Applied Epistemology Library Forum Index
Author Message
  Topic: The Flu
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 1084
Views: 299746

PostForum: Health   Posted: 9:56 am   Subject: Fair enough
If formatting is more important from an epistemological viewpoint than intelligent debate then I concede.
  Topic: The Flu
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 1084
Views: 299746

PostForum: Health   Posted: 8:49 am   Subject: The prodigal comments
Thanks for the opportunity Mick...

I could start with 'If true, this certainly finishes the germ theory of disease once and for all.' Which I think was the comment which provided me with some worr ...
  Topic: The Flu
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 1084
Views: 299746

PostForum: Health   Posted: 4:01 pm   Subject: Epidemiologists
Reluctant as I am to wade in to this morass... Clearly not all models are equal and most are wrong but some are useful. However, throwing our collective arms in the air and declaring a pox on all thei ...
  Topic: National Statistics
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 52
Views: 33478

PostForum: Politics   Posted: 2:43 pm   Subject: Consanguineous marriage and infant mortality in West Mids
Makes for interesting reading. As for a solution, I don't think that this is amenable to reason or logic, as you imply, Mick.
  Topic: National Statistics
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 52
Views: 33478

PostForum: Politics   Posted: 2:41 pm   Subject: Consanguineous marriage and infant mortality in West Mids
Most recent report is here

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/515800/InfantMortalityInTheWestMidlandsFinal.pdf
  Topic: National Statistics
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 52
Views: 33478

PostForum: Politics   Posted: 1:59 pm   Subject: Six sigma, lean and Toyota
The first adoptees were Toyota who employed this methodology. It has been described variously as lean, six sigma and Kaizen.

Interestingly too - Toyota have been keen to create an industry out of ...
  Topic: National Statistics
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 52
Views: 33478

PostForum: Politics   Posted: 10:58 am   Subject: SPG
Yes, SPG was a favourite of mine too - not related.
  Topic: National Statistics
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 52
Views: 33478

PostForum: Politics   Posted: 10:57 am   Subject: SPC charts
Gladly Mick,

Statistical process control charts (SPCs) are a very useful method of analysing quantitative runs of data to look for actual trends.

They start with a look at all your data to crea ...
  Topic: National Statistics
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 52
Views: 33478

PostForum: Politics   Posted: 10:36 am   Subject: Voter registration data
Looking at the data from a run chart perspective the figures are part of a common cause variation pattern and do not represent any sort of special cause variation.
An SPC chart which I have built co ...
  Topic: Artificial intelligence - is it any way intelligent at all?
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 14
Views: 23856

PostForum: NEW CONCEPTS   Posted: 2:10 pm   Subject: Should we screen for neurodegenerative illness for example?
Background to the problem

The World Health Organisation has estimated that 47.5 million people worldwide have dementia and there are 7.7 million new cases each year. In the UK in 2014, there were a ...
  Topic: Artificial intelligence - is it any way intelligent at all?
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 14
Views: 23856

PostForum: NEW CONCEPTS   Posted: 7:41 am   Subject: Artificial intelligence - is it any way intelligent at all?
Yes, except you could live to a ripe old age of a completely unrelated problem but serve out your last 30 plagued with anxiety that every bout of wind would be your death knell...

Meanwhile costing ...
  Topic: Artificial intelligence - is it any way intelligent at all?
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 14
Views: 23856

PostForum: NEW CONCEPTS   Posted: 5:46 pm   Subject: Artificial intelligence - is it any way intelligent at all?
I can furnish you with a few tricksy examples, but the most illuminating concerns abdominal aortic aneurysms. A highly laudable project a few years ago set out to screen (ultrasound scan) for this dan ...
  Topic: Artificial intelligence - is it any way intelligent at all?
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 14
Views: 23856

PostForum: NEW CONCEPTS   Posted: 5:34 pm   Subject: Artificial intelligence - is it any way intelligent at all?
If only life were that simple...

Screening is not easy and can result in unintended consequences.
Wilson and Junger proposed criteria which are worth considering, which are

The condition sought ...
  Topic: Artificial intelligence - is it any way intelligent at all?
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 14
Views: 23856

PostForum: NEW CONCEPTS   Posted: 12:13 pm   Subject: Artificial intelligence - is it any way intelligent at all?
No, I really cannot conceive that doctors will be replaced with robots.

As for being replaced by patients, an interesting idea but sadly all the Boolean algorithms in the world will fail to resolv ...
  Topic: Artificial intelligence - is it any way intelligent at all?
Alfred Wegener

Replies: 14
Views: 23856

PostForum: NEW CONCEPTS   Posted: 10:19 am   Subject: Artificial intelligence - is it any way intelligent at all?
Health care is a complex adaptive system.

Diagnosis

Clinical diagnosis is one aspect of this system and is an additional layer of sophistication, as it relies on complex interactions between cl ...
 
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